In 2025, no change to the digital marketing landscape looms larger than Google’s rollout of AI Overviews into mainstream search results.
Promised as a major leap forward in search experience, the overviews aim to synthesize information more efficiently for users. They summarize, recommend, and contextualize information without requiring users to click into traditional web listings.
But as Google hypes the power of AI Overviews, it is notably avoiding one crucial question:
How are click-through rates (CTR) affected for organic and paid results?
This tension between innovation and transparency is creating significant uncertainty for SEO professionals, content creators, and paid search marketers alike.
In this article, we break down what AI Overviews are, why Google is promoting them so heavily, and why CTR data is becoming the new battleground in the future of search.
What Are Google’s AI Overviews?
Google’s AI Overviews are AI-generated summaries that appear at the top of some search engine results pages (SERPs).
Powered by Google’s large language models (LLMs), these summaries aim to quickly answer users’ queries by pulling from multiple online sources and condensing the information.
Instead of serving a list of blue links first, AI Overviews provide:
- A conversational, synthesized answer to the search query
- Sources cited via links within the text
- A sidebar or lower section featuring traditional organic listings
In theory, AI Overviews are meant to help users save time, especially for complex or multi-part queries.
In practice, they are reshaping user behavior—and not always to the benefit of websites that depend on organic traffic.
Why Google Is Hyping AI Overviews So Aggressively
Google is positioning AI Overviews as the future of search.
At events like Google I/O 2025, executives have emphasized AI Overviews as a flagship innovation. The reasons behind the aggressive promotion are clear:
- Competitive Pressure: Tools like ChatGPT, Perplexity, and other AI search engines are challenging Google’s dominance by offering fast, conversational answers.
- User Experience Evolution: Google wants to stay ahead of shifting user expectations toward more synthesized, less fragmented answers.
- Revenue Diversification: AI Overviews offer new spaces to monetize through sponsored content and integration points for ads over time.
For Google, the stakes are high.
If users migrate to AI-first search competitors, Google’s ad revenue model could be under long-term threat.
AI Overviews allow Google to keep users inside its ecosystem longer, gather richer behavioral data, and maintain dominance—but at what cost to the broader web?
The Missing Piece: How AI Overviews Impact CTR
Despite the excitement, there is one major detail that Google refuses to clearly address:
What happens to click-through rates for traditional search results when AI Overviews appear?
So far, Google has:
- Declined to share detailed CTR data comparing AI Overview SERPs to standard SERPs
- Avoided direct answers when pressed by journalists and SEO professionals
- Suggested vaguely that traffic levels overall remain “strong” without providing specifics
This lack of transparency matters deeply for several reasons:
- SEO Impact: If AI Overviews dramatically reduce organic CTR, it will undermine existing SEO strategies and lower ROI for content marketing.
- Paid Search Implications: Ad performance could shift if AI Overviews dominate user attention or if ad placement dynamics change.
- Publisher Sustainability: Many sites depend on organic discovery for ad revenue, subscriptions, or ecommerce sales. A CTR decline could destabilize business models.
Marketers are flying blind without clear CTR data—forced to guess at how much user engagement is being cannibalized by AI-driven answers.
Early Signals: How AI Overviews May Be Affecting Traffic
While Google has avoided publishing concrete data, independent studies and early observations suggest potential patterns:
- CTR for traditional organic listings declines when AI Overviews are present, particularly for simple informational queries.
- Engagement with top links drops because users feel their question was already answered in the summary.
- Ads positioned within or near AI Overviews may see mixed effects—higher visibility but also different user behavior compared to classic SERPs.
For publishers and SEO-driven businesses, this means rethinking content strategies to survive in a world where fewer users click out of search engines to visit websites.
Strategic Implications for SEO and Paid Media
If AI Overviews continue to expand while CTR data remains hidden, marketers must adapt proactively.
Here is how.
1. Focus on Complex, High-Intent Content
Simple FAQ-style content is more likely to be answered fully inside an AI Overview, reducing clicks.
Content strategies should shift toward:
- Complex topics requiring deeper analysis
- Proprietary data or unique perspectives
- Interactive tools, calculators, or downloads that AI cannot easily summarize
Owning more complex queries creates defensibility against zero-click answers.
2. Build Brand Demand Beyond Search
In a world where Google may increasingly “answer” queries without sending users to your site, brand strength matters more than ever.
Brands should invest in:
- Email list building
- Social media engagement
- Direct traffic through owned media and communities
You cannot depend solely on organic search discovery anymore.
3. Watch Paid Search Inventory Closely
AI Overviews could alter how ads are shown—or create new ad formats entirely.
Paid search marketers should:
- Monitor impression share and cost-per-click trends in AI-affected SERPs
- Test AI Overview-adjacent ad placements (if available)
- Prepare for new bidding strategies as inventory shifts
Flexibility in paid media tactics will be crucial.
4. Demand Transparency and Advocate for Open Data
The SEO and marketing community must continue to pressure Google for transparency around CTR changes.
Open data benefits everyone—marketers, publishers, and users alike.
Accepting AI Overviews without understanding the trade-offs risks ceding control over critical traffic sources.
The Bigger Picture: Trust in Google’s Ecosystem
At its core, Google’s refusal to share CTR data undermines trust.
If they truly benefit the entire ecosystem—users, advertisers, and publishers—then clear data would help validate that claim.
Lack of transparency suggests that the trade-offs may be more disruptive than Google wants to admit.
Marketers must approach AI Overviews with a blend of open-mindedness and skepticism.
Adaptation is necessary—but so is advocacy for a search ecosystem that remains fair, sustainable, and transparent.
Final Thoughts: A Turning Point for Search
Google’s rollout of AI Overviews marks a fundamental shift in how people find information online.
For users, faster answers may be a welcome improvement.
For marketers, it creates new challenges around visibility, engagement, and measurement.
The companies that succeed in the AI search era will not be those clinging to the past.
They will be the ones who recognize that search marketing must now extend beyond clicks and adapt to a future shaped by AI-driven experiences.
Prepare accordingly. Push for transparency. Build resilience outside traditional SERPs.
The next chapter of search is being written right now—and visibility will belong to the brands that evolve with it.

Hi there! I’m Scott, and I am the principal consultant and thought leader behind Stratus Analytics. I have a Master of Science degree in marketing analytics, and I’ve have been providing freelance digital marketing services for over 20 years. Additionally, I have written several books on marketing which you can find here on Amazon or this website.
DISCLAIMER: Due to my work in the packaging industry, I cannot take on freelance clients within the packaging manufacturing space. I do not want to provide disservice to your vision or my employer. Thank you for understanding.